Republican 2024 Presidential Standings. (47%) and the republican candidate (45%) on the generic congressional ballot. We feature a polling average, which is a more reliable measure of voter's current.

 — 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.  — updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.